We predict where Russia strikes next. To save lives and protect assets.
Strateon analyses every Shahed drone, missile and glide-bomb strike across Ukraine and forecasts, 30 days ahead, the zones most likely to be hit. Insurers, NGOs, companies and diplomatic missions use those forecasts to protect their people, secure their sites and price their risk.
In March 2022, Strateon gave us the information we needed, free of charge, to get civilians out of our region and moving west.
You tell us the site, city, route or team to protect. You get three things.
A risk map.
Your zone cut into 5-metre tiles, each scored, the most exposed marked red. A street-level answer, not a whole city painted red.
A written analysis.
A 10 to 25 page report: which of your sites are exposed, why, what we recommend. Within 7 days.
Alerts.
The moment your zone's score rises, your team is alerted. Maps refreshed within 72 hours.
Built for four kinds of exposure.
Insurers and reinsurers.
Strike probability street by street, so you can price accurately and cover risks you had to refuse before.
Humanitarian NGOs.
Which routes and sites are exposed, so your teams and the people they help stay out of the way.
International companies.
Which sites to protect first, and when to trigger your continuity plan.
Diplomatic missions.
Exposure briefings for delegations and posted staff, with alerts when it changes.
of strikes land where we said they would.
In 2025, 87 percent of the strikes recorded in Ukraine fell inside zones we had already marked at risk. Our tiles are 5 metres across, so that answer holds at street level.
Collected, checked, confirmed from space.
We collect.
Open Ukrainian and international sources, around the clock. Every strike located and logged.
We check.
Unclear events are confirmed with contacts on the ground and the relevant authorities.
We confirm from space.
When it matters, high-resolution commercial satellite imagery for a final check.
We then cluster and model the data (DBSCAN, gaussian smoothing) to find the corridors, the repeated targets and the zones where exposure is building, and score every tile against your own footprint. We forecast 30 days out. Auditable, reproducible, no black box. Maps refresh within 72 hours, alerts go out in real time.
Two ways to work with us.
One-off report.
For a single decision: an investment, a site purchase, a deployment, a policy renewal. Full risk analysis on your zone, within 7 days.
Subscription.
For a lasting presence. Continuous monitoring, a report whenever the risk threshold moves, and real-time alerts when strikes occur nearby.
Delivered as a PDF report, a PowerPoint summary for your board, and a dashboard for your teams. Prices are starting points, exclusive of VAT.
Free for those who need it most. Civilians in at-risk areas, small NGOs and small newsrooms get our data at no cost. Protecting lives should not depend on a budget.
Real situations. No client names.
75 expatriates in Kyiv.
A multinational employed 75 people in Ukraine. We monitored the city and alerted their insurer, who approved trips when it was safe, paused cover when it was not, and never had to run an emergency evacuation.
A microgrid 15 km from the front.
Traditional cover was unworkable that close to the line. Our risk index made a parametric policy possible: the payout triggers on its own once the agreed thresholds are crossed.
Strateon's maps let our NGO keep working around Izium without holding our breath. We knew which zones to avoid, and it kept our staff and the people we were there for out of harm's way.
We handed part of our watch on Ukraine to Strateon in April 2022. We wanted a reading that was not our own, one that looked ahead rather than behind. Several turning points in this war made sense to us because of their analysis.
We anonymise every client.
Ask us about the safety of your location.
Give us an address, a site or a route and we will tell you what we see. Or take an hour with our analysts on your whole exposure in Ukraine. Confidential, no commitment.
Your information stays strictly confidential. Prefer a secure channel? Signal and encrypted email on request.
Strateon's maps, scores and alerts are decision-support tools built on the analysis of past events. They express probabilities, not certainties. Strateon accepts no liability for decisions taken on their basis. Products are supplied under a restricted licence, for the client's internal use only. Redistribution or public release of the maps or the underlying data is prohibited. Strateon operates in compliance with French law, carries out no military activity, and limits the disclosure of non-public strategic sites so as not to harm Ukraine's defence effort.